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T Theory™ Forum is a private, members-only WordPress community that currently costs $99/year or $29/quarter to join.

The sample website is designed to give potential Forum members an opportunity to see the type of content posted at T Theory™ Forum before deciding to join.  Each of the posts on the Sample Forum is an excerpt of an actual post made to T Theory™ Forum on the date indicated.

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Famed money manager Terrence Laundry leads the discussion.  Terry is the President of T Theory™ Foundation, Inc., an educational and research foundation devoted to developing the T Theory™ Timing Principles.   He also serves as Chairman of American Shareholders Investment Corporation where he has managed money for individuals and trusts for over 30 years while easily beating the S&P 500 over that period after fees.

Terry is the author and commentator of many theoretical concepts featured at the TTheory.com website each weekend. Terry is a graduate of Phillips Exeter Academy and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Parker Binion moderates the T Theory™ Forum on a daily basis, and authors several posts per week.  Parker is a long time student of T Theory™ who joined T Theory™ Foundation, Inc. as Director of Strategic Planning in January of 2011.  Parker studied at Duke University before graduating from the University of Texas School of Law where he served as an Articles Editor on the Texas Law Review.

In the fall of 2010, Parker discovered Money Flow Ts™ while writing a financial blog called PositionSizing which generated 70,000 page views a month at its peak.

Paula Burke is CFO and Business Manager of T Theory™ Foundation, Inc.  Paula also serves as President of American Shareholders Investment Corp.  Should you have questions about Forum membership, please contact Paula Burke at Paula@TTheory.com or 1-888-228-2995.

November 4, 2011 “Daily Chart” Example

Here is a sample of Terry Laundry’s famous “Daily Chart” which shows his adaptive price channels and volume oscillator plot, along with various ringing cycles and short-range “T”s.

The Daily Chart is updated for T Theory Forum members after the close each Wednesday and Friday evening.  The chart below was provided to Forum members on November 4, 2011.

Daily Chart Nov 4 2011

October 4, 2011 Post by Parker Binion

New Volume Oscillator T

The Volume Oscillator hit a high of 119 on August 31 that started a cash build up phase.

The rising bottoms pattern in the Volume Oscillator was -91 on September 22 and -86 on October 3.

My studies have shown that splitting the rising bottoms pattern as a center post produces a target that’s usually a couple of days early, and using the actual price low (October 3) as a center post produces a target that’s usually a couple of days late.

So the split bottom target top is October 24.

The October 3 center post target top is November 2.

I would not be surprised if the top occurred somewhere in the middle.

October 4, 2011 Post by Terry Laundry

Special Update:  Confirmed New T Starting with Accumulation Pattern

The upside reversal at the close on October 4 confirms a new accumulation low which will likely be the Center-post of the new T.

You should not disregard this,  the market should rally for several weeks.  However the strength is unknown.

The accumulation low has the characteristic breakdown of the S&P to a new recent closing low followed, by a new  upside breakout on the close today.

The Oscillators will show a rising bottom thereby completing the pattern.

The only requirement is that the uptrend continue short term as technically the S&P is not quite clear of its base but it should be confirmed by strength on Wednesday.

I will have the charts as usual on Wednesday.

Terry Laundry

August 29, 2011 Post by Parker Binion

The Volume Oscillator has hit 97.  This is the same number we saw on  July 1, which means the cash build up phase starting on July 1 is over and a new Volume Oscillator “T” can be drawn using the early August lows.  The target date for the price high is September 15 if you split the rising bottoms pattern.

August 14, 2011 Post by Parker Binion

I am happy to introduce the color-coded Gold Meter.

Gold has been in a long-term uptrend since 2001.  Most of that time has been spent in intermediate uptrends.  As such, there is ample opportunity to swing trade gold during intermediate uptrends.  On a relative basis, you buy when the price is cheap, and you look to unload when it’s frothy.

When gold experiences an intermediate downtrend during this long-term bull market, panic lows occur in gold which are excellent long-term buy and hold opportunities.

The Gold Meter is based on a combination of proprietary analytics.  It answers these questions:

1.  Whether the intermediate trend in gold is UP or DOWN

2. When the intermediate trend is UP, whether the gold price is:

• CHEAP (look for low-priced long entry)
• FAIR (don’t sell, maybe buy)
  
• EXPENSIVE (don’t buy, maybe sell)
• FROTHY (look for lucrative long exit)

3.  When the intermediate trend is DOWN, whether the gold price has hit a PANIC LOW  (a wonderful buying opportunity) or not.

The Gold Meter will be updated on the right-hand side of the Home page. The intermediate trend is UP since January 23, 2009.  The current price is FROTHY.

July 22, 2011 Post by Terry Laundry

It appears that the 9th short-range T with a projected top around July 21 was effectively completed on that date. There may be some minor carryover but the forecast is for a decline thereafter with the next best buying opportunity in early October at the next ringing cycle low #10 in today’s Daily Chart.

The small gold extension discussed in the midweek update looks to be holding gold up near its record high with potential to move higher.

July 6, 2011 Post by Terry Laundry

Please see the Chart Library for the latest daily chart update.

As of the Wednesday, July 6 close we are beginning to see market toppy signs. This topping is likely to last another week or two, thereby finishing out the short time duration T at cycle low number nine (#9) in today’s Daily Chart.

A warning that this topping had begun at this relatively early stage came from Parker’s chart posted earlier, of the Arms ratio on a weighted basis. Whenever this daily indicator drops to very low numbers, like 0.8 to 0.5 over a five-day stretch, an Arms Sell Warning is developed. This implies “too much” money has been spent in an emotional buying panic resulting in an unhealthy condition. Typically this warning produces a couple of weeks of churning in a top pattern. This is what I would expect going into mid-July.

This warning implies that a real top is forming. Therefore we should expect that in time a new decline will result into a new oversold condition during August. It wouldn’t hurt to start thinking about how one might take advantage of this upcoming change in trend.

A new project we are working on is forecasting equities based on commodity cycles.  One conclusion we have reached is the stock market decline may be very sharp in line with its ongoing negative view.  We are working to resolve the “How and Why” of this  technology but it appears  that a low should occur in the first half of August.

July 3, 2011 Post by Parker Binion

As a new feature on the Forum, I have added Volume-Weighted TRIN to the Pages menu on the right-hand side of the Forum.

The TRIN (Short-Term TRading INdex) or Arms Index (discovered by Richard Arms in 1967) is the ratio of advancing to declining issues divided by the ratio of advancing to declining volume.  As a breadth oscillator, it can be used as an overbought-oversold indicator.

The 5-day average TRIN is a popular way to smooth the indicator.   You simply add the final daily TRIN for each of the last 5 days and divide by 5.  Accordingly, each day counts the same in the 5-day simple TRIN average.

Some people prefer to use a 5-day exponential moving average of TRIN, which weighs the TRIN days in order of recency.

However, neither method accounts for volume.  I will update the Volume-Weighted TRIN chart on a weekly basis, and will update the TRIN data daily.

June 13, 2011 Post by Parker Binion

Very few ETFs are showing much strength right now.  Sugar is an exception.  The ETF symbol is SGG.  In the past month, SGG has broken above resistance on price, RSI and MFI.   RSI has popped above 60-62 (the ceiling for down trends), indicating a new up trend is in place.  On June 13, the 20-day MA crossed above the 50-day MA.  Technically, SGG looks like a nice candidate to buy on dips.